Junta early Feb set up 15-member technical commission tasked with outlining transition charter and roadmap commission 23 Feb proposed 30-month transition led by Damiba before elections. Lt Col Henri-Paul Sandaogo Damiba sworn in as president 16 Feb, pledged to “preserve, respect, uphold and defend the Constitution”. Military junta approved three-year transition before elections French and Burkinabé forces conducted airstrikes against jihadists in north and east. View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Somalia here. View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Lebanon here. View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Ethiopia here. Our CrisisWatch Digests for Ethiopia, Lebanon and Somalia offer a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments: Gunfire near the government palace in Guinea-Bissau gave rise to competing narratives and exposed the fragility of President Sissoco Embaló’s seat.Īside from the conflict situations we regularly assess, we tracked notable developments in Benin, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the Nile Waters. and other world powers reached an inflection point that will determine whether the 2015 nuclear deal is revived or collapses.Īfter Libya’s eastern-based parliament announced it had appointed a new prime minister and approved his cabinet, the country faces a high risk of institutional division with two rival governments vying for power.ĭeadly political violence in Zimbabwe, which erupted in February, could escalate around by-elections scheduled for 26 March.ĬrisisWatch also highlights deteriorations in five countries in February.Ī controversial phone call discussing plans to destabilise Chad surfaced on social media, fuelling tensions between N’djamena and Bangui, and straining progress to hold a pre-dialogue initiative between Chadian authorities and armed groups. Marathon negotiations involving Iran, the U.S. As Russian forces continue their assault in the face of resistance, the conflict could further intensify, with major repercussions beyond Ukraine’s borders.
Moscow launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, forcing hundreds of thousands to flee. Our monthly conflict tracker warns of four conflict risks and one resolution opportunity in March.
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